Franklin, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

928
FXUS64 KOHX 280353
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1053 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1050 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

- Unsettled weather through early next week with afternoon showers
  and thunderstorms. Severe weather risk remains very low.

- Temperatures near or slightly above-normal through the forecast
  period. Humidity levels decrease on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Afternoon showers and thunderstorms took a rapid decline near
sunset across Middle TN, mainly due to the area being completely
covered in rain-cooled air. Calm conditions are forecast into
Saturday morning with patchy fog east of I-65.

Guidance suggests another afternoon of showers and thunderstorms
across Middle TN on Saturday amidst the weakening ridge aloft,
which will continue a period of unsettled weather. It appears
there`s better moisture/instability west of I-65, as well as
forcing near mid-level vorticity. We`ll see how coverage works
out, but overall convection could become more numerous in the west
in the late afternoon once cold pool aggregation occurs. Stronger
storms will pose the usual summertime risks of strong wind gusts,
heavy downpours, and frequent lightning. No organized severe
weather is expected. Much of the same is forecast for Sunday,
though it does appear higher rain chances are warranted with
additional forcing from what appears to be MCV like structures
approaching from the west.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Rain & storms will continue through Tuesday across Middle TN,
with best chances during the afternoon with daytime heating.
However, rain chances remain quite high on Monday with the
approach of a shortwave trough into the eastern CONUS. This would
effectively position a weak cold front closer to the region
bringing increased moisture and instability into Middle TN during
the afternoon. This system is forecast to progress east into
Tuesday, so rain chances that afternoon will be focused near the
progressing front, generally south and east. Wednesday onward
looks more manageable each day with only isolated afternoon
convection along with decreased moisture & humidity levels behind
the front/trough aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Dry conditions are expected to prevail through Saturday morning
before scattered storms develop again. PROB30 groups were included
at all terminals to address the storm possibilities during the
afternoon. There is a low to medium chance of fog developing close
to dawn at CSV/SRB so a tempo group was included. Winds will be
light and variable through the overnight hours and then increase
to around 5 kts late in the morning out of the S/SW. If a terminal
is impacted by a storm in the afternoon, a gust to around 25 kts
can`t be ruled out.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  91  74  89 /  20  50  30  60
Clarksville    73  90  73  87 /  20  50  20  70
Crossville     66  85  66  85 /  30  50  20  60
Columbia       71  90  71  87 /  10  50  30  70
Cookeville     69  86  69  87 /  40  40  20  60
Jamestown      67  86  67  86 /  40  50  20  60
Lawrenceburg   70  88  70  87 /  10  50  30  60
Murfreesboro   71  90  71  89 /  20  50  30  60
Waverly        71  90  71  86 /  20  50  30  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Reagan